Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Sunderland opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-148) and drifted to 1.70 (-143). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lech Poznan 20% → 20%, draw 23% → 23%, Sunderland 57% → 57%. The Asian handicap held at Lech Poznan +0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 3 h 35 min before kickoff: Sunderland went from 57% to 55% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Lech Poznan
4.66 (+366)
4.87 (+387)
Draw
4.10 (+310)
4.12 (+312)
Sunderland
1.68 (-148)
1.70 (-143)
Asian handicap
Lech Poznan +0.75 · 1.96 (-104)
Lech Poznan +0.75 · 2.00 (+100)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-121)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.90 (-111)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.75)
Total (over/under)
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