Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 476 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 476 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Salzburg opened as the favorite at 1.60 (-167) and shortened to 1.51 (-196). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Celje 19% → 16%, draw 22% → 20%, Salzburg 59% → 64%. The Asian handicap moved from Celje +1 to Celje +1.25. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 22 h 30 min before kickoff: Salzburg went from 61% to 63% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Celje
5.06 (+406)
5.97 (+497)
Draw
4.31 (+331)
4.80 (+380)
Salzburg
1.60 (-167)
1.51 (-196)
Asian handicap
Celje +1 · 1.84 (-119)
Celje +1.25 · 1.83 (-121)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.97 (-103)
O/U 3 · over 1.83 (-120)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Celje
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
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