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Dropping odds today

Today's dropping odds: the football, baseball and basketball games where the price has shortened the most since we first recorded the market — ranked by how far the no-vig win probability rose. Markets are sampled every 5 minutes; this page refreshes about every 15 minutes. Moves like these are what our soccer predictions today are built on, and every pick is graded on the public record.

Before the start · 6 games

StartMatchDropping sideOddsWin prob.
Oct 31
7:30 PM UTC
🏀 France - Championnat Pro A
JL Bourg Basket vs Nanterre
JL Bourg Basket 1.52 (-193) → 1.33 (-301) 63% → 72% (+9.3)
Oct 31
7:30 PM UTC
🏀 Italy - Lega A
Treviso vs Pallacanestro Reggiana
Treviso 1.42 (-238) → 1.25 (-400) 66% → 75% (+9.2)
Oct 31
5:30 PM UTC
⚽ Spain - Segunda Division
Celta Vigo II vs Cordoba
Cordoba 2.13 (+113) → 1.87 (-115) 45% → 52% (+7.0)
Oct 31
8:10 PM ET
🏀 NBA
Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings 5.20 (+420) → 3.82 (+282) 19% → 25% (+6.9)
Oct 31
7:07 PM ET
🏒 NHL
Vancouver Canucks vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs 1.67 (-149) → 1.54 (-184) 58% → 63% (+5.0)
Oct 31
3:10 PM ET
🏀 NBA
Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers 1.41 (-244) → 1.32 (-312) 69% → 74% (+4.9)

Started in the last 24 hours · 34 games

StartMatchDropping sideOddsWin prob.
Oct 31
2:05 PM JST
🏀 Japan - B.League Premier
Sendai 89ers vs Sunrockers Shibuya
Sunrockers Shibuya 2.32 (+132) → 1.51 (-196) 41% → 62% (+20.9)
Oct 30
4:30 PM UTC
🏀 Finland - Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola vs Korihait Uusikaupunki
Kouvot Kouvola 1.82 (-122) → 1.44 (-229) 52% → 66% (+13.7)
Oct 30
7:45 PM UTC
🏀 Spain - Liga FEB
Tizona Burgos vs HLA Alicante
HLA Alicante 1.54 (-184) → 1.29 (-346) 62% → 73% (+11.6)
Oct 31
3:00 PM UK
⚽ England - League 2
Salford City vs Exeter City
Salford City 1.60 (-167) → 1.38 (-261) 60% → 69% (+9.2)
Oct 31
4:00 PM UTC
🏀 Finland - Korisliiga
Kataja Basket Joensuu vs Kauhajoki Karhu Basket
Kauhajoki Karhu Basket 2.35 (+135) → 1.93 (-107) 41% → 49% (+8.8)
Oct 31
6:05 PM JST
🏀 Japan - B.League Premier
Kawasaki Brave Thunders vs Yokohama B-Corsairs
Kawasaki Brave Thunders 1.64 (-156) → 1.44 (-227) 58% → 66% (+8.3)
Oct 31
11:35 AM UTC
🏀 China - CBA
Fujian Sturgeons vs Qingdao Eagles
Qingdao Eagles 1.72 (-138) → 1.52 (-194) 54% → 62% (+8.1)
Oct 30
6:30 PM UTC
⚽ Austria - Bundesliga
Grazer AK vs Hartberg
Hartberg 3.49 (+249) → 2.74 (+174) 28% → 35% (+7.8)
Oct 31
8:30 AM UTC
⚽ Indonesia - Super League
PSM Makassar vs Madura United
PSM Makassar 2.12 (+112) → 1.81 (-124) 45% → 53% (+7.8)
Oct 30
7:30 PM UTC
🏀 France - Championnat Pro B
AS Alsace Gries-Souffel vs Aix Maurienne Savoie
AS Alsace Gries-Souffel 1.64 (-157) → 1.44 (-227) 58% → 66% (+7.7)
Oct 31
12:30 PM UTC
⚽ Wales - Premier League
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Penybont
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3.85 (+285) → 3.01 (+201) 24% → 31% (+7.2)
Oct 30
7:45 PM UTC
⚽ Ireland - Premier
Drogheda United vs Galway United
Drogheda United 2.36 (+136) → 2.01 (+101) 41% → 48% (+7.1)
Oct 30
7:15 PM UTC
🏀 Europe - Euroleague
Olympiakos BC vs Olimpia Milano
Olimpia Milano 5.61 (+461) → 4.01 (+301) 17% → 24% (+7.0)
Oct 30
6:00 PM UTC
⚽ Norway - Eliteserien
Bodo Glimt vs Viking
Bodo Glimt 1.70 (-143) → 1.55 (-181) 56% → 62% (+6.4)
Oct 31
2:30 PM UTC
⚽ Germany - Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen 1.83 (-120) → 1.65 (-155) 53% → 59% (+6.4)
Oct 31
12:30 PM UTC
⚽ Estonia - Meistriliiga
Parnu Vaprus vs Paide Linnameeskond
Draw 4.37 (+337) → 3.42 (+242) 21% → 28% (+6.3)
Oct 30
7:45 PM UTC
⚽ Ireland - Premier
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers
Shamrock Rovers 2.05 (+105) → 1.81 (-124) 47% → 53% (+6.3)
Oct 31
1:45 PM UTC
⚽ France - Ligue 3
Le Puy vs Caen
Caen 3.29 (+229) → 2.72 (+172) 29% → 35% (+6.1)
Oct 30
9:00 PM UTC
⚽ Colombia - Primera A
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Cordoba
Deportivo Pereira 2.52 (+152) → 2.17 (+117) 38% → 44% (+6.1)
Oct 31
4:00 AM UTC
⚽ Australia - A League
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix 3.45 (+245) → 2.90 (+190) 28% → 33% (+5.9)
Oct 30
7:45 PM UTC
⚽ Ireland - Premier
St Patrick´s Athletic vs Bohemians
St Patrick´s Athletic 2.04 (+104) → 1.81 (-123) 47% → 53% (+5.8)
Oct 30
4:30 PM UTC
🏒 Finland - SM Liiga
Tappara vs Ilves
Ilves 1.85 (-118) → 1.67 (-149) 51% → 57% (+5.8)
Oct 31
3:00 AM UTC
⚽ Mexico - Liga MX
Puebla vs Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM 2.24 (+124) → 2.01 (+101) 43% → 48% (+5.8)
Oct 31
4:00 PM UTC
⚽ Austria - 2. Liga
First Vienna vs BW Linz
First Vienna 3.14 (+214) → 2.64 (+164) 31% → 36% (+5.8)
Oct 31
8:30 AM UTC
⚽ Indonesia - Super League
Persik Kediri vs Persita Tangerang
Persik Kediri 2.17 (+117) → 1.92 (-109) 44% → 50% (+5.8)
Oct 30
7:30 PM UTC
🏀 ABA - Adriatic League
BC Vienna vs KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo
KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo 1.63 (-160) → 1.48 (-210) 59% → 64% (+5.7)
Oct 31
2:00 PM KST
🏀 Korean - KBL
Busan KCC Egis vs Wonju Dongbu Promy
Wonju Dongbu Promy 1.93 (-107) → 1.76 (-132) 49% → 55% (+5.7)
Oct 31
2:05 PM JST
🏀 Japan - B.League Premier
Kobe Storks vs Nagasaki Velca
Nagasaki Velca 1.44 (-228) → 1.33 (-300) 65% → 71% (+5.6)
Oct 31
5:00 AM UTC
🏐 South Korea - V League
Incheon Jumbos vs Cheonan Skywalkers
Cheonan Skywalkers 3.18 (+218) → 2.68 (+168) 29% → 35% (+5.5)
Oct 30
4:30 PM UTC
⚽ Qatar - Stars League
Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC
Al Gharafa 1.98 (-102) → 1.78 (-129) 48% → 54% (+5.5)
Oct 31
2:30 PM UTC
⚽ Germany - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen 2.90 (+190) → 2.52 (+152) 33% → 39% (+5.3)
Oct 30
7:30 PM UTC
🏀 Europe - Euroleague
Barcelona vs Valencia BC
Barcelona 1.83 (-121) → 1.68 (-147) 52% → 57% (+5.3)
Oct 31
8:30 AM UTC
⚽ Indonesia - Super League
Arema FC vs Bali United Pusam
Arema FC 3.77 (+277) → 3.13 (+213) 25% → 31% (+5.2)
Oct 31
12:30 PM UK
⚽ England - Premier League
Chelsea vs Manchester United
Manchester United 4.19 (+319) → 3.48 (+248) 23% → 28% (+4.9)

How to read this table

Odds shows the first price we recorded and the latest one, in decimal with American odds in brackets. Win prob. converts both prices to no-vig probability — the bookmaker margin removed — so drops are comparable across sports and markets: “41% → 47% (+6.0)” means the market now rates that side six percentage points more likely to win. Games with a real move and enough history link to their own line movement page with the full chart and a move timeline. New to prices? Try the odds calculator or read what dropping odds mean.

FAQ

What are dropping odds?

Odds that shorten before the game — for example a price moving from 2.30 to 2.05. A shorter price means the market now rates that side more likely to win. Big drops usually follow news (injuries, lineups, weather) or large, informed bets.

How is the drop measured here?

We compare the first snapshot we recorded with the latest one (or the last one before the start) and convert both prices to no-vig win probability — the probability with the bookmaker margin removed. The table ranks games by how many percentage points that probability rose.

How often is this page updated?

The markets are sampled every 5 minutes and this page is rebuilt with every data update, roughly every 15 minutes.

Does a dropping price mean I should bet it?

No. A drop tells you the market moved, not that the move was right, and the value is often gone once a price has shortened. SharpPick grades every pick it issues in public so you can judge for yourself.

Get the odds drop alert as it happens

The app pushes an alert the moment a line moves, and turns the strongest moves into picks graded on the public record.

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