Scan with your phone camera Chelsea vs Manchester United — odds movement
Oct 31, 2026 · 12:30 PM UK · 629 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 629 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 45 min before kickoff. Chelsea opened as the favorite at 1.83 (-120) and drifted to 2.12 (+112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chelsea 53% → 46%, draw 24% → 26%, Manchester United 23% → 28%. The Asian handicap held at Chelsea -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 18 h 55 min before kickoff: Chelsea went from 51% to 49% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Chelsea | 1.83 (-120) | 2.12 (+112) |
| Draw | 3.99 (+299) | 3.74 (+274) |
| Manchester United | 4.19 (+319) | 3.48 (+248) |
| Asian handicap | Chelsea -0.5 · 1.84 (-119) | Chelsea -0.5 · 2.13 (+113) |
| Total | O/U 3 · over 2.01 (+101) | O/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.
Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).