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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Sunderland vs Leeds United — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 4:30 PM UK · 632 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 632 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Leeds United opened as the favorite at 2.39 (+139) and drifted to 2.62 (+162). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sunderland 30% → 32%, draw 30% → 31%, Leeds United 40% → 37%. The Asian handicap moved from Sunderland +0.25 to Sunderland 0. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 51 h 40 min before kickoff: Sunderland went from 31% to 32% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Sunderland3.25 (+225)3.03 (+203)
Draw3.25 (+225)3.17 (+217)
Leeds United2.39 (+139)2.62 (+162)
Asian handicapSunderland +0.25 · 1.86 (-116)Sunderland 0 · 2.11 (+111)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.86 (-116)O/U 2.25 · over 1.97 (-103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
28%33%38%42%Sunderland 32%Draw 31%Leeds United 37%
Asian handicap · Sunderland
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).