Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Hoffenheim opened as the favorite at 2.05 (+105) and shortened to 1.69 (-145). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 47% → 57%, draw 24% → 22%, Lyon 29% → 21%. The Asian handicap moved from Hoffenheim -0.5 to Hoffenheim -0.75. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Hoffenheim went from 49% to 56% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Hoffenheim
2.05 (+105)
1.69 (-145)
Draw
4.02 (+302)
4.46 (+346)
Lyon
3.36 (+236)
4.54 (+354)
Asian handicap
Hoffenheim -0.5 · 2.06 (+106)
Hoffenheim -0.75 · 1.87 (-115)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 2.06 (+106)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.93 (-107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Hoffenheim
Total · no change in the recorded window (3.25)
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