Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bournemouth opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and shortened to 1.89 (-112). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bournemouth 45% → 51%, draw 26% → 25%, AC Milan 29% → 24%. The Asian handicap moved from Bournemouth -0.25 to Bournemouth -0.5. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 9 h 55 min before kickoff: Bournemouth went from 47% to 50% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Bournemouth
2.15 (+115)
1.89 (-112)
Draw
3.73 (+273)
3.94 (+294)
AC Milan
3.32 (+232)
3.95 (+295)
Asian handicap
Bournemouth -0.25 · 1.89 (-113)
Bournemouth -0.5 · 1.90 (-111)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.93 (-107)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.95 (-105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Bournemouth
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.75)
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