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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Europa League Final

Celtic vs Celta Vigo — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Celta Vigo opened favored at 2.60 (+160), but by the last snapshot Celtic was the favorite at 2.47 (+147). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Celtic 36% → 39%, draw 28% → 27%, Celta Vigo 37% → 34%. The Asian handicap held at Celtic 0 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 3 h 60 min before kickoff: Celtic went from 36% to 37% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Celtic2.68 (+168)2.47 (+147)
Draw3.43 (+243)3.59 (+259)
Celta Vigo2.60 (+160)2.86 (+186)
Asian handicapCeltic 0 · 1.95 (-105)Celtic 0 · 1.81 (-123)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%30%36%42%Celtic 39%Draw 27%Celta Vigo 34%
Asian handicap · Celtic
-0.2500 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.52.7532.5 → 2.75

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