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Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Benfica opened as the favorite at 1.36 (-279) and shortened to 1.31 (-318). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Omonia Nicosia 12% → 10%, draw 18% → 16%, Benfica 70% → 73%. The Asian handicap moved from Omonia Nicosia +1.25 to Omonia Nicosia +1.5. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Omonia Nicosia7.71 (+671)9.31 (+831)
Draw5.22 (+422)5.88 (+488)
Benfica1.36 (-279)1.31 (-318)
Asian handicapOmonia Nicosia +1.25 · 2.01 (+101)Omonia Nicosia +1.5 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 3.25 · over 2.05 (+105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-1%28%57%86%Omonia Nicosia 10%Draw 16%Benfica 73%
Asian handicap · Omonia Nicosia
+1.25+1.5+1.25 → +1.5
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).