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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Europa League Final

Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 635 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 635 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Dinamo Zagreb opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and shortened to 1.47 (-215). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dinamo Zagreb 58% → 66%, draw 22% → 19%, NEC Nijmegen 20% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from Dinamo Zagreb -0.75 to Dinamo Zagreb -1.25. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 8 h 30 min before kickoff: Dinamo Zagreb went from 61% to 63% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Dinamo Zagreb1.64 (-156)1.47 (-215)
Draw4.29 (+329)4.98 (+398)
NEC Nijmegen4.72 (+372)6.45 (+545)
Asian handicapDinamo Zagreb -0.75 · 1.81 (-123)Dinamo Zagreb -1.25 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.89 (-112)O/U 3.25 · over 2.07 (+107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
6%29%52%75%Dinamo Zagreb 66%Draw 19%NEC Nijmegen 15%
Asian handicap · Dinamo Zagreb
-1.25-1-0.75-0.75 → -1.25
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).