Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 635 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 635 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Dinamo Zagreb opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and shortened to 1.47 (-215). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Dinamo Zagreb 58% → 66%, draw 22% → 19%, NEC Nijmegen 20% → 15%. The Asian handicap moved from Dinamo Zagreb -0.75 to Dinamo Zagreb -1.25. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 8 h 30 min before kickoff: Dinamo Zagreb went from 61% to 63% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Dinamo Zagreb
1.64 (-156)
1.47 (-215)
Draw
4.29 (+329)
4.98 (+398)
NEC Nijmegen
4.72 (+372)
6.45 (+545)
Asian handicap
Dinamo Zagreb -0.75 · 1.81 (-123)
Dinamo Zagreb -1.25 · 2.00 (+100)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.89 (-112)
O/U 3.25 · over 2.07 (+107)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Dinamo Zagreb
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.