Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva — odds movement
Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Union Saint-Gilloise opened as the favorite at 1.31 (-325) and drifted to 1.40 (-251). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Union Saint-Gilloise 72% → 69%, draw 17% → 19%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 11% → 12%. The Asian handicap moved from Union Saint-Gilloise -1.5 to Union Saint-Gilloise -1.25. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 33 h 60 min before kickoff: Union Saint-Gilloise went from 73% to 71% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Union Saint-Gilloise
1.31 (-325)
1.40 (-251)
Draw
5.73 (+473)
5.15 (+415)
Hapoel Beer Sheva
8.49 (+749)
7.75 (+675)
Asian handicap
Union Saint-Gilloise -1.5 · 1.83 (-121)
Union Saint-Gilloise -1.25 · 1.85 (-117)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 2.00 (+100)
O/U 3 · over 1.88 (-114)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Union Saint-Gilloise
Total (over/under)
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