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⚽ Soccer Brazil - Serie A Final

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC · 494 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 494 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Mirassol opened as the favorite at 2.37 (+137) and shortened to 2.30 (+130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mirassol 40% → 42%, draw 29% → 29%, Sao Paulo 30% → 29%. The Asian handicap held at Mirassol -0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.25 to 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Mirassol2.37 (+137)2.30 (+130)
Draw3.26 (+226)3.37 (+237)
Sao Paulo3.13 (+213)3.32 (+232)
Asian handicapMirassol -0.25 · 2.03 (+103)Mirassol -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 2.5 · over 2.07 (+107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
26%32%39%45%Mirassol 42%Draw 29%Sao Paulo 29%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.25 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).