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⚽ Soccer Brazil - Serie A Final

Santos vs Palmeiras — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Palmeiras opened as the favorite at 2.32 (+132) and shortened to 1.97 (-103). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Santos 31% → 25%, draw 28% → 26%, Palmeiras 41% → 49%. The Asian handicap moved from Santos +0.25 to Santos +0.5. The total moved up from 2.5 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 50 minutes before kickoff: Palmeiras went from 45% to 49% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Santos3.11 (+211)3.84 (+284)
Draw3.39 (+239)3.76 (+276)
Palmeiras2.32 (+132)1.97 (-103)
Asian handicapSantos +0.25 · 1.85 (-117)Santos +0.5 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108)O/U 2.75 · over 2.05 (+105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%32%43%53%Santos 25%Draw 26%Palmeiras 49%
Asian handicap · Santos
+0.25+0.5+0.25 → +0.5
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).