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Bragantino vs Chapecoense — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC · 488 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 488 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Bragantino opened as the favorite at 1.28 (-357) and drifted to 1.28 (-356). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Bragantino 74% → 75%, draw 16% → 15%, Chapecoense 10% → 10%. The Asian handicap held at Bragantino -1.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Bragantino1.28 (-357)1.28 (-356)
Draw6.09 (+509)6.40 (+540)
Chapecoense9.39 (+839)9.32 (+832)
Asian handicapBragantino -1.75 · 2.02 (+102)Bragantino -1.75 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 3.5 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-2%28%57%87%Bragantino 75%Draw 15%Chapecoense 10%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1.75)
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.753.25 → 3.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).