Oct 29, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC · 502 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 502 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Flamengo opened as the favorite at 1.80 (-125) and shortened to 1.71 (-141). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vasco da Gama 24% → 19%, draw 24% → 24%, Flamengo 53% → 57%. The Asian handicap held at Vasco da Gama +0.75 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 45 minutes before kickoff: Flamengo went from 52% to 57% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Vasco da Gama
4.03 (+303)
4.99 (+399)
Draw
4.04 (+304)
4.04 (+304)
Flamengo
1.80 (-125)
1.71 (-141)
Asian handicap
Vasco da Gama +0.75 · 1.81 (-123)
Vasco da Gama +0.75 · 1.99 (-101)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.92 (-109)
O/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Vasco da Gama
Total (over/under)
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