Scan with your phone camera Gremio vs Athletico Paranaense — odds movement
Oct 30, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC · 490 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 490 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 20 min before kickoff. Gremio opened as the favorite at 2.45 (+145) and shortened to 2.36 (+136). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Gremio 39% → 41%, draw 29% → 29%, Athletico Paranaense 32% → 30%. The Asian handicap held at Gremio -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 6 h 5 min before kickoff: Gremio went from 41% to 39% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
| First snapshot | Last before start | |
| Gremio | 2.45 (+145) | 2.36 (+136) |
| Draw | 3.34 (+234) | 3.40 (+240) |
| Athletico Paranaense | 2.94 (+194) | 3.19 (+219) |
| Asian handicap | Gremio -0.25 · 2.11 (+111) | Gremio -0.25 · 2.03 (+103) |
| Total | O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-108) | O/U 2.5 · over 1.93 (-107) |
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).