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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Europa League Final

Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — odds movement

Oct 15, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Celje opened favored at 2.49 (+149), but by the last snapshot Omonia Nicosia was the favorite at 2.30 (+130). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Celje 38% → 30%, draw 28% → 28%, Omonia Nicosia 34% → 42%. The Asian handicap moved from Celje 0 to Celje +0.25. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 21 h 50 min before kickoff: Celje went from 38% to 36% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Celje2.49 (+149)3.27 (+227)
Draw3.45 (+245)3.41 (+241)
Omonia Nicosia2.79 (+179)2.30 (+130)
Asian handicapCelje 0 · 1.82 (-122)Celje +0.25 · 1.92 (-109)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.82 (-122)O/U 2.5 · over 1.89 (-112)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
25%31%38%45%Celje 30%Draw 28%Omonia Nicosia 42%
Asian handicap · Celje
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total (over/under)
2.52.752.5 → 2.5

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).