Oct 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Benfica opened as the favorite at 1.24 (-417) and shortened to 1.18 (-568). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Benfica 76% → 82%, draw 15% → 11%, Celtic 9% → 7%. The Asian handicap moved from Benfica -1.75 to Benfica -2.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.75.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Benfica
1.24 (-417)
1.18 (-568)
Draw
6.52 (+552)
8.52 (+752)
Celtic
10.37 (+937)
14.69 (+1369)
Asian handicap
Benfica -1.75 · 1.89 (-113)
Benfica -2.25 · 1.95 (-105)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.90 (-111)
O/U 3.75 · over 1.85 (-118)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Benfica
Total (over/under)
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