Oct 15, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Lyon opened favored at 2.21 (+121), but by the last snapshot Crystal Palace was the favorite at 2.60 (+160). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lyon 44% → 36%, draw 26% → 27%, Crystal Palace 30% → 37%. The Asian handicap moved from Lyon -0.25 to Lyon 0. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 15 h 45 min before kickoff: Lyon went from 44% to 42% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Lyon
2.21 (+121)
2.70 (+170)
Draw
3.71 (+271)
3.59 (+259)
Crystal Palace
3.20 (+220)
2.60 (+160)
Asian handicap
Lyon -0.25 · 1.93 (-107)
Lyon 0 · 1.99 (-101)
Total
O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)
O/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Lyon
Total (over/under)
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