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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Europa League Final

Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen — odds movement

Oct 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Ferencvaros opened as the favorite at 1.95 (-105) and shortened to 1.83 (-120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ferencvaros 49% → 53%, draw 24% → 24%, Viktoria Plzen 27% → 23%. The Asian handicap held at Ferencvaros -0.5 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Ferencvaros1.95 (-105)1.83 (-120)
Draw3.91 (+291)4.00 (+300)
Viktoria Plzen3.53 (+253)4.15 (+315)
Asian handicapFerencvaros -0.5 · 1.96 (-104)Ferencvaros -0.5 · 1.85 (-118)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 3 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
17%31%45%59%Ferencvaros 53%Draw 24%Viktoria Plzen 23%
Asian handicap · Ferencvaros
-0.75-0.5-0.5 → -0.5
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).