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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Europa League Final

Hoffenheim vs Besiktas — odds movement

Oct 15, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Hoffenheim opened as the favorite at 1.93 (-107) and shortened to 1.92 (-109). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Hoffenheim 49% → 50%, draw 23% → 24%, Besiktas 28% → 26%. The Asian handicap held at Hoffenheim -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Hoffenheim1.93 (-107)1.92 (-109)
Draw4.08 (+308)4.01 (+301)
Besiktas3.45 (+245)3.78 (+278)
Asian handicapHoffenheim -0.5 · 1.94 (-106)Hoffenheim -0.5 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 3.25 · over 2.07 (+107)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%31%44%57%Hoffenheim 50%Draw 24%Besiktas 26%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).