Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 503 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 503 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Ajax opened as the favorite at 2.07 (+107) and shortened to 2.00 (+100). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Ajax 46% → 48%, draw 25% → 23%, Atalanta 29% → 28%. The Asian handicap moved from Ajax -0.25 to Ajax -0.5. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 10 h 10 min before kickoff: Ajax went from 45% to 48% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Ajax
2.07 (+107)
2.00 (+100)
Draw
3.72 (+272)
4.11 (+311)
Atalanta
3.27 (+227)
3.38 (+238)
Asian handicap
Ajax -0.25 · 1.82 (-122)
Ajax -0.5 · 2.01 (+101)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.96 (-104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Ajax
Total (over/under)
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