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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Conference League Final

Thun vs Hajduk Split — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 218 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 218 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 18 h 25 min before kickoff. Hajduk Split opened as the favorite at 2.40 (+140) and shortened to 2.22 (+122). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Thun 34% → 33%, draw 26% → 24%, Hajduk Split 40% → 43%. The Asian handicap held at Thun +0.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 3 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 40 minutes before kickoff: Hajduk Split went from 42% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Thun2.83 (+183)2.96 (+196)
Draw3.65 (+265)3.99 (+299)
Hajduk Split2.40 (+140)2.22 (+122)
Asian handicapThun +0.25 · 1.79 (-126)Thun +0.25 · 1.93 (-108)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 3.25 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%30%39%49%Thun 33%Draw 24%Hajduk Split 43%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+0.25)
Total (over/under)
33.253 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).