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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Conference League Final

Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 227 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 227 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 10 min before kickoff. FC Twente opened as the favorite at 1.22 (-448) and shortened to 1.15 (-665). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lincoln Red Imps 8% → 6%, draw 14% → 11%, FC Twente 77% → 83%. The Asian handicap moved from Lincoln Red Imps +1.75 to Lincoln Red Imps +2.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 35 min before kickoff: FC Twente went from 80% to 82% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Lincoln Red Imps11.73 (+1073)17.06 (+1606)
Draw6.54 (+554)8.44 (+744)
FC Twente1.22 (-448)1.15 (-665)
Asian handicapLincoln Red Imps +1.75 · 2.04 (+104)Lincoln Red Imps +2.25 · 1.93 (-107)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.99 (-101)O/U 3.5 · over 1.85 (-117)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-8%27%62%97%Lincoln Red Imps 6%Draw 11%FC Twente 83%
Asian handicap · Lincoln Red Imps
+1.75+2+2.25+1.75 → +2.25
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.25 → 3.5

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