Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 227 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 227 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 19 h 10 min before kickoff. FC Twente opened as the favorite at 1.22 (-448) and shortened to 1.15 (-665). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lincoln Red Imps 8% → 6%, draw 14% → 11%, FC Twente 77% → 83%. The Asian handicap moved from Lincoln Red Imps +1.75 to Lincoln Red Imps +2.25. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 35 min before kickoff: FC Twente went from 80% to 82% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Lincoln Red Imps
11.73 (+1073)
17.06 (+1606)
Draw
6.54 (+554)
8.44 (+744)
FC Twente
1.22 (-448)
1.15 (-665)
Asian handicap
Lincoln Red Imps +1.75 · 2.04 (+104)
Lincoln Red Imps +2.25 · 1.93 (-107)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.99 (-101)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.85 (-117)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Lincoln Red Imps
Total (over/under)
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