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⚽ Soccer UEFA - Conference League Final

Monaco vs Freiburg — odds movement

Oct 22, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 650 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 650 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Monaco opened as the favorite at 2.25 (+125) and drifted to 2.32 (+132). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Monaco 42% → 41%, draw 26% → 26%, Freiburg 31% → 32%. The Asian handicap held at Monaco -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 55 minutes before kickoff: Monaco went from 45% to 40% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Monaco2.25 (+125)2.32 (+132)
Draw3.58 (+258)3.66 (+266)
Freiburg3.01 (+201)2.99 (+199)
Asian handicapMonaco -0.25 · 1.97 (-103)Monaco -0.25 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.91 (-110)O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-120)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
23%31%40%49%Monaco 41%Draw 26%Freiburg 32%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 2.75

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