Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Brighton opened as the favorite at 1.29 (-340) and shortened to 1.20 (-497). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Jablonec 11% → 7%, draw 17% → 13%, Brighton 72% → 79%. The Asian handicap moved from Jablonec +1.75 to Jablonec +2. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: Brighton went from 84% to 80% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Jablonec
8.57 (+757)
12.79 (+1179)
Draw
5.55 (+455)
7.24 (+624)
Brighton
1.29 (-340)
1.20 (-497)
Asian handicap
Jablonec +1.75 · 1.83 (-121)
Jablonec +2 · 1.89 (-112)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 2.02 (+102)
O/U 3.25 · over 1.88 (-114)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Jablonec
Total (over/under)
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