Oct 22, 2026 · 4:45 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Getafe opened as the favorite at 1.79 (-126) and drifted to 2.26 (+126). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Getafe 53% → 43%, draw 27% → 30%, FC Lugano 20% → 27%. The Asian handicap moved from Getafe -0.5 to Getafe -0.25. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 60 minutes before kickoff: Getafe went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Getafe
1.79 (-126)
2.26 (+126)
Draw
3.49 (+249)
3.18 (+218)
FC Lugano
4.64 (+364)
3.55 (+255)
Asian handicap
Getafe -0.5 · 1.80 (-125)
Getafe -0.25 · 1.93 (-108)
Total
O/U 2.25 · over 1.85 (-117)
O/U 2.25 · over 2.05 (+105)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Getafe
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)
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