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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Lazio vs Parma — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 6:45 PM UTC · 632 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 632 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Lazio opened as the favorite at 1.41 (-246) and drifted to 1.48 (-210). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Lazio 68% → 65%, draw 20% → 22%, Parma 11% → 13%. The Asian handicap moved from Lazio -1.25 to Lazio -1. The total stayed at 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Lazio1.41 (-246)1.48 (-210)
Draw4.80 (+380)4.40 (+340)
Parma8.41 (+741)7.68 (+668)
Asian handicapLazio -1.25 · 1.94 (-106)Lazio -1 · 1.80 (-125)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 2.5 · over 1.94 (-106)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-0%27%54%81%Lazio 65%Draw 22%Parma 13%
Asian handicap · Lazio
-1.25-1-1.25 → -1
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).