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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Roma vs Cagliari — odds movement

Oct 27, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC · 620 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 620 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Roma opened as the favorite at 1.34 (-298) and shortened to 1.31 (-318). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Roma 71% → 74%, draw 20% → 18%, Cagliari 10% → 8%. The Asian handicap held at Roma -1.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.75. The sharpest single move came 47 h 5 min before kickoff: Roma went from 70% to 72% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Roma1.34 (-298)1.31 (-318)
Draw4.83 (+383)5.36 (+436)
Cagliari9.87 (+887)11.44 (+1044)
Asian handicapRoma -1.5 · 2.01 (+101)Roma -1.5 · 1.96 (-104)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.89 (-113)O/U 2.75 · over 2.10 (+110)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-4%26%56%87%Roma 74%Draw 18%Cagliari 8%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-1.5)
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 2.75

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