Oct 29, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Frosinone opened as the favorite at 1.68 (-146) and drifted to 1.70 (-142). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Frosinone 57% → 57%, draw 23% → 23%, Lecce 20% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Frosinone -0.75 the whole way. The total moved up from 3.25 to 3.5.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Frosinone
1.68 (-146)
1.70 (-142)
Draw
4.20 (+320)
4.31 (+331)
Lecce
4.90 (+390)
4.71 (+371)
Asian handicap
Frosinone -0.75 · 1.87 (-115)
Frosinone -0.75 · 1.88 (-114)
Total
O/U 3.25 · over 1.94 (-106)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.96 (-104)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.