Oct 28, 2026 · 5:30 PM UTC · 641 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 641 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 40 min before kickoff. AC Milan opened as the favorite at 1.62 (-161) and drifted to 1.74 (-136). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): AC Milan 59% → 56%, draw 23% → 26%, Bologna 17% → 18%. The Asian handicap held at AC Milan -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 2.5 to 2.25. The sharpest single move came 21 h 55 min before kickoff: AC Milan went from 57% to 56% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
AC Milan
1.62 (-161)
1.74 (-136)
Draw
4.14 (+314)
3.71 (+271)
Bologna
5.57 (+457)
5.32 (+432)
Asian handicap
AC Milan -0.75 · 1.80 (-125)
AC Milan -0.75 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.88 (-114)
O/U 2.25 · over 1.82 (-122)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
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