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⚽ Soccer Italy - Serie A Final

Cagliari vs Bologna — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 1:00 PM UTC · 641 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 641 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Bologna opened as the favorite at 2.54 (+154) and drifted to 2.78 (+178). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Cagliari 29% → 33%, draw 33% → 32%, Bologna 38% → 35%. The Asian handicap moved from Cagliari +0.25 to Cagliari 0. The total stayed at 2.25.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Cagliari3.30 (+230)2.96 (+196)
Draw2.97 (+197)3.03 (+203)
Bologna2.54 (+154)2.78 (+178)
Asian handicapCagliari +0.25 · 1.79 (-126)Cagliari 0 · 2.03 (+103)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.98 (-102)O/U 2.25 · over 2.03 (+103)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
28%32%36%40%Cagliari 33%Draw 32%Bologna 35%
Asian handicap · Cagliari
0+0.25+0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
22.252.25 → 2.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).