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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 2:30 PM UTC · 476 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 476 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. FC Utrecht opened as the favorite at 1.65 (-154) and drifted to 1.66 (-152). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): FC Utrecht 57% → 58%, draw 22% → 22%, PEC Zwolle 21% → 20%. The Asian handicap held at FC Utrecht -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3.25 to 3. The sharpest single move came 38 h 20 min before kickoff: FC Utrecht went from 58% to 59% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
FC Utrecht1.65 (-154)1.66 (-152)
Draw4.32 (+332)4.35 (+335)
PEC Zwolle4.59 (+359)4.91 (+391)
Asian handicapFC Utrecht -0.75 · 1.83 (-120)FC Utrecht -0.75 · 1.84 (-119)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 3 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
12%30%48%67%FC Utrecht 58%Draw 22%PEC Zwolle 20%
Asian handicap · FC Utrecht
-1-0.75-0.75 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).