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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 7:00 PM UTC · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. AZ Alkmaar opened as the favorite at 2.15 (+115) and drifted to 2.21 (+121). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): AZ Alkmaar 44% → 44%, draw 24% → 24%, FC Twente 31% → 32%. The Asian handicap held at AZ Alkmaar -0.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.25. The sharpest single move came 3 h 25 min before kickoff: AZ Alkmaar went from 46% to 44% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
AZ Alkmaar2.15 (+115)2.21 (+121)
Draw3.92 (+292)3.99 (+299)
FC Twente3.02 (+202)3.02 (+202)
Asian handicapAZ Alkmaar -0.25 · 1.91 (-110)AZ Alkmaar -0.25 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 3.25 · over 1.86 (-116)O/U 3.25 · over 2.04 (+104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%30%40%49%AZ Alkmaar 44%Draw 24%FC Twente 32%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.25)
Total (over/under)
33.253.25 → 3.25

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).