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⚽ Soccer Netherlands - Eredivisie Final

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 11:15 AM UTC · 479 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 479 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. The favorite flipped: Fortuna Sittard opened favored at 2.39 (+139), but by the last snapshot Excelsior was the favorite at 2.59 (+159). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Fortuna Sittard 40% → 36%, draw 26% → 27%, Excelsior 34% → 37%. The Asian handicap moved from Fortuna Sittard -0.25 to Fortuna Sittard 0. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75. The sharpest single move came 4 h 40 min before kickoff: Excelsior went from 34% to 35% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Fortuna Sittard2.39 (+139)2.72 (+172)
Draw3.63 (+263)3.59 (+259)
Excelsior2.82 (+182)2.59 (+159)
Asian handicapFortuna Sittard -0.25 · 2.09 (+109)Fortuna Sittard 0 · 2.00 (+100)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 2.75 · over 2.00 (+100)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
24%30%36%43%Fortuna Sittard 36%Draw 27%Excelsior 37%
Asian handicap · Fortuna Sittard
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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