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⚽ Soccer England - Premier League Final

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal — odds movement

Oct 18, 2026 · 4:30 PM UK · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Arsenal opened as the favorite at 1.63 (-158) and shortened to 1.63 (-159). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Nottingham Forest 15% → 16%, draw 25% → 24%, Arsenal 59% → 59%. The Asian handicap held at Nottingham Forest +0.75 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 13 h 15 min before kickoff: Arsenal went from 59% to 61% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Nottingham Forest6.23 (+523)5.96 (+496)
Draw3.79 (+279)3.96 (+296)
Arsenal1.63 (-158)1.63 (-159)
Asian handicapNottingham Forest +0.75 · 2.11 (+111)Nottingham Forest +0.75 · 2.14 (+114)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 2.5 · over 1.88 (-114)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
5%27%49%71%Nottingham Forest 16%Draw 24%Arsenal 59%
Asian handicap · Nottingham Forest
+0.75+1+0.75 → +0.75
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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