Oct 18, 2026 · 2:00 PM UK · 619 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 619 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Leeds United opened as the favorite at 2.38 (+138) and drifted to 2.56 (+156). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Leeds United 41% → 38%, draw 27% → 27%, Manchester United 32% → 35%. The Asian handicap moved from Leeds United -0.25 to Leeds United 0. The total moved down from 3 to 2.5.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Leeds United
2.38 (+138)
2.56 (+156)
Draw
3.58 (+258)
3.55 (+255)
Manchester United
2.99 (+199)
2.81 (+181)
Asian handicap
Leeds United -0.25 · 2.07 (+107)
Leeds United 0 · 1.87 (-115)
Total
O/U 3 · over 2.10 (+110)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.85 (-117)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Leeds United
Total (over/under)
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