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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Braga vs Gil Vicente — odds movement

Oct 19, 2026 · 7:15 PM UTC · 494 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 494 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 15 min before kickoff. Braga opened as the favorite at 1.56 (-178) and drifted to 1.67 (-150). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Braga 61% → 58%, draw 24% → 26%, Gil Vicente 15% → 17%. The Asian handicap moved from Braga -1 to Braga -0.75. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 5 h 20 min before kickoff: Braga went from 63% to 61% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Braga1.56 (-178)1.67 (-150)
Draw3.92 (+292)3.78 (+278)
Gil Vicente6.24 (+524)5.80 (+480)
Asian handicapBraga -1 · 2.03 (+103)Braga -0.75 · 1.89 (-112)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.83 (-120)O/U 2.25 · over 1.92 (-109)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
5%27%50%72%Braga 58%Draw 26%Gil Vicente 17%
Asian handicap · Braga
-1-0.75-1 → -0.75
Total (over/under)
2.252.52.25 → 2.25

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