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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Sporting CP vs Academico de Viseu — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC · 117 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 117 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 10 h 25 min before kickoff. Sporting CP opened as the favorite at 1.23 (-430) and drifted to 1.25 (-402). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Sporting CP 78% → 77%, draw 14% → 14%, Academico de Viseu 9% → 9%. The Asian handicap moved from Sporting CP -2 to Sporting CP -1.75. The total moved down from 3.5 to 3.25. The sharpest single move came 2 h 25 min before kickoff: Sporting CP went from 79% to 80% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Sporting CP1.23 (-430)1.25 (-402)
Draw6.98 (+598)6.73 (+573)
Academico de Viseu11.22 (+1022)10.58 (+958)
Asian handicapSporting CP -2 · 2.05 (+105)Sporting CP -1.75 · 1.94 (-106)
TotalO/U 3.5 · over 1.92 (-109)O/U 3.25 · over 1.84 (-119)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
-7%27%61%94%Sporting CP 77%Draw 14%Academico de Viseu 9%
Asian handicap · Sporting CP
-2-1.75-2 → -1.75
Total (over/under)
3.253.53.5 → 3.25

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