Oct 25, 2026 · 6:00 PM UTC · 506 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 506 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Braga opened as the favorite at 1.57 (-174) and shortened to 1.54 (-184). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Nacional da Madeira 16% → 15%, draw 23% → 23%, Braga 60% → 62%. The Asian handicap held at Nacional da Madeira +1 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Nacional da Madeira
5.75 (+475)
6.43 (+543)
Draw
4.04 (+304)
4.25 (+325)
Braga
1.57 (-174)
1.54 (-184)
Asian handicap
Nacional da Madeira +1 · 1.83 (-121)
Nacional da Madeira +1 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 1.91 (-110)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (+1)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.