Oct 23, 2026 · 7:45 PM UTC · 485 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 485 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Vitoria Guimaraes opened as the favorite at 1.64 (-156) and shortened to 1.52 (-194). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vitoria Guimaraes 58% → 64%, draw 25% → 22%, Maritimo 17% → 14%. The Asian handicap moved from Vitoria Guimaraes -0.75 to Vitoria Guimaraes -1. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 14 h 35 min before kickoff: Vitoria Guimaraes went from 57% to 60% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Vitoria Guimaraes
1.64 (-156)
1.52 (-194)
Draw
3.83 (+283)
4.35 (+335)
Maritimo
5.44 (+444)
6.77 (+577)
Asian handicap
Vitoria Guimaraes -0.75 · 1.85 (-118)
Vitoria Guimaraes -1 · 1.90 (-111)
Total
O/U 2.5 · over 2.01 (+101)
O/U 2.5 · over 1.88 (-114)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Vitoria Guimaraes
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)
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