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⚽ Soccer Portugal - Primeira Liga Final

Alverca vs Arouca — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 5:00 PM UTC · 494 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 494 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 25 min before kickoff. Alverca opened as the favorite at 2.16 (+116) and shortened to 2.10 (+110). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Alverca 44% → 46%, draw 30% → 30%, Arouca 26% → 24%. The Asian handicap moved from Alverca -0.25 to Alverca -0.5. The total stayed at 2.5. The sharpest single move came 5 h 10 min before kickoff: Alverca went from 43% to 45% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Alverca2.16 (+116)2.10 (+110)
Draw3.18 (+218)3.24 (+224)
Arouca3.67 (+267)4.00 (+300)
Asian handicapAlverca -0.25 · 1.85 (-118)Alverca -0.5 · 2.11 (+111)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.87 (-115)O/U 2.5 · over 1.96 (-104)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
20%30%40%51%Alverca 46%Draw 30%Arouca 24%
Asian handicap · Alverca
-0.5-0.25-0.25 → -0.5
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).