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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lyon — odds movement

Oct 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 20 min before kickoff. Paris Saint-Germain opened as the favorite at 1.43 (-231) and shortened to 1.34 (-294). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Paris Saint-Germain 67% → 72%, draw 18% → 17%, Lyon 15% → 11%. The Asian handicap moved from Paris Saint-Germain -1.25 to Paris Saint-Germain -1.5. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 35 h 20 min before kickoff: Paris Saint-Germain went from 68% to 69% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

	First snapshot	Last before start
Paris Saint-Germain	1.43 (-231)	1.34 (-294)
Draw	5.30 (+430)	5.74 (+474)
Lyon	6.35 (+535)	8.74 (+774)
Asian handicap	Paris Saint-Germain -1.25 · 1.89 (-112)	Paris Saint-Germain -1.5 · 1.88 (-114)
Total	O/U 3.5 · over 2.00 (+100)	O/U 3.5 · over 1.90 (-111)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig

Asian handicap · Paris Saint-Germain

Total · no change in the recorded window (3.5)

Move timeline · UTC

17:37 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.33 → 1.34
14:32 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.35 → 1.33
13:02 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.37 → 1.35
11:42 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.35 → 1.36
10:42 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.36 → 1.35
10:27 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.34 → 1.36
08:57 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.37 → 1.34
04:22 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.37 → 1.36
19:42 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.38 → 1.37
19:42 Asian handicap (Paris Saint-Germain) -1.25 → -1.5
08:12 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.43 → 1.39
20:22 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.42 → 1.43
17:32 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.41 → 1.42
16:17 Paris Saint-Germain moneyline 1.43 → 1.42

Where this data comes from

SharpPick samples the sharpest betting markets in the world every 5 minutes. Injuries, lineups and weather tend to reach the odds before the news, so a line that moves is usually money that moved. When a move is strong enough, the app issues a pick — and every pick is graded on the public record.

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