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⚽ Soccer France - Ligue 1 Final

Monaco vs Lille — odds movement

Oct 25, 2026 · 2:00 PM UTC · 634 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 634 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Monaco opened as the favorite at 2.09 (+109) and shortened to 1.96 (-104). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Monaco 46% → 50%, draw 29% → 27%, Lille 25% → 24%. The Asian handicap held at Monaco -0.5 the whole way. The total stayed at 2.5.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Monaco2.09 (+109)1.96 (-104)
Draw3.34 (+234)3.61 (+261)
Lille3.90 (+290)4.13 (+313)
Asian handicapMonaco -0.5 · 2.10 (+110)Monaco -0.5 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 2.5 · over 1.84 (-119)O/U 2.5 · over 1.79 (-127)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
18%30%42%54%Monaco 50%Draw 27%Lille 24%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.5)
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.5)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).