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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Mito HollyHock vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — odds movement

Oct 31, 2026 · 2:00 PM JST · 491 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 491 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 45 min before kickoff. Sanfrecce Hiroshima opened as the favorite at 1.43 (-234) and shortened to 1.40 (-247). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Mito HollyHock 15% → 13%, draw 19% → 19%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66% → 69%. The Asian handicap held at Mito HollyHock +1.25 the whole way. The total moved up from 2.75 to 3. The sharpest single move came 11 h 50 min before kickoff: Sanfrecce Hiroshima went from 67% to 69% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Mito HollyHock6.51 (+551)7.69 (+669)
Draw4.93 (+393)5.18 (+418)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.43 (-234)1.40 (-247)
Asian handicapMito HollyHock +1.25 · 1.87 (-115)Mito HollyHock +1.25 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)O/U 3 · over 2.08 (+108)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
1%28%54%81%Mito HollyHock 13%Draw 19%Sanfrecce Hiroshima 69%
Asian handicap · Mito HollyHock
+1.25+1.5+1.25 → +1.25
Total (over/under)
2.7532.75 → 3

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