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⚽ Soccer Japan - J League Final

Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia — odds movement

Oct 24, 2026 · 3:00 PM JST · 476 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 476 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 42 h 10 min before kickoff. Vissel Kobe opened as the favorite at 2.41 (+141) and drifted to 2.67 (+167). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Vissel Kobe 40% → 36%, draw 30% → 29%, Machida Zelvia 30% → 34%. The Asian handicap moved from Vissel Kobe -0.25 to Vissel Kobe 0. The total stayed at 2.25. The sharpest single move came 2 h 40 min before kickoff: Machida Zelvia went from 33% to 34% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Vissel Kobe2.41 (+141)2.67 (+167)
Draw3.17 (+217)3.29 (+229)
Machida Zelvia3.14 (+214)2.82 (+182)
Asian handicapVissel Kobe -0.25 · 2.06 (+106)Vissel Kobe 0 · 1.90 (-111)
TotalO/U 2.25 · over 1.93 (-107)O/U 2.25 · over 1.87 (-115)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
28%32%37%41%Vissel Kobe 36%Draw 29%Machida Zelvia 34%
Asian handicap · Vissel Kobe
-0.250-0.25 → 0
Total · no change in the recorded window (2.25)

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