Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City — odds movement
Oct 28, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 632 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 632 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Minnesota United opened as the favorite at 1.40 (-249) and drifted to 1.43 (-231). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Minnesota United 67% → 67%, draw 18% → 18%, Sporting Kansas City 15% → 15%. The Asian handicap held at Minnesota United -1.25 the whole way. The total stayed at 3.5. The sharpest single move came 19 h 30 min before kickoff: Minnesota United went from 69% to 67% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Minnesota United
1.40 (-249)
1.43 (-231)
Draw
5.28 (+428)
5.31 (+431)
Sporting Kansas City
6.46 (+546)
6.55 (+555)
Asian handicap
Minnesota United -1.25 · 1.85 (-118)
Minnesota United -1.25 · 1.89 (-112)
Total
O/U 3.5 · over 1.89 (-112)
O/U 3.5 · over 1.86 (-116)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Minnesota United
Total (over/under)
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