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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET · 632 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 632 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Seattle Sounders opened as the favorite at 1.77 (-130) and shortened to 1.74 (-135). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Seattle Sounders 54% → 56%, draw 24% → 23%, Houston Dynamo 23% → 21%. The Asian handicap held at Seattle Sounders -0.75 the whole way. The total moved down from 3 to 2.75.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Seattle Sounders1.77 (-130)1.74 (-135)
Draw4.03 (+303)4.19 (+319)
Houston Dynamo4.15 (+315)4.53 (+353)
Asian handicapSeattle Sounders -0.75 · 2.00 (+100)Seattle Sounders -0.75 · 1.95 (-105)
TotalO/U 3 · over 2.02 (+102)O/U 2.75 · over 1.83 (-121)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
15%31%46%62%Seattle Sounders 56%Draw 23%Houston Dynamo 21%
Asian handicap · no change in the recorded window (-0.75)
Total (over/under)
2.7533 → 2.75

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).