Oct 28, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff
How the odds moved
We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Real Salt Lake opened as the favorite at 2.40 (+140) and shortened to 2.20 (+120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Austin FC 36% → 31%, draw 24% → 25%, Real Salt Lake 40% → 44%. The Asian handicap moved from Austin FC 0 to Austin FC +0.25. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 19 h 15 min before kickoff: Real Salt Lake went from 39% to 41% in five minutes.
Opening vs closing odds
First snapshot
Last before start
Austin FC
2.66 (+166)
3.15 (+215)
Draw
3.89 (+289)
3.82 (+282)
Real Salt Lake
2.40 (+140)
2.20 (+120)
Asian handicap
Austin FC 0 · 2.03 (+103)
Austin FC +0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
Total
O/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)
O/U 3 · over 1.98 (-102)
Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.
Line movement chart
Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).
Win probability · no-vig
Asian handicap · Austin FC
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)
Get the alert while the line is moving
The app sends an odds drop alert the moment a line moves, with the pick and that logic's measured hit rate.