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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Austin FC vs Real Salt Lake — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 638 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 638 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Real Salt Lake opened as the favorite at 2.40 (+140) and shortened to 2.20 (+120). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Austin FC 36% → 31%, draw 24% → 25%, Real Salt Lake 40% → 44%. The Asian handicap moved from Austin FC 0 to Austin FC +0.25. The total stayed at 3. The sharpest single move came 19 h 15 min before kickoff: Real Salt Lake went from 39% to 41% in five minutes.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Austin FC2.66 (+166)3.15 (+215)
Draw3.89 (+289)3.82 (+282)
Real Salt Lake2.40 (+140)2.20 (+120)
Asian handicapAustin FC 0 · 2.03 (+103)Austin FC +0.25 · 1.97 (-103)
TotalO/U 3 · over 1.95 (-105)O/U 3 · over 1.98 (-102)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
21%30%39%47%Austin FC 31%Draw 25%Real Salt Lake 44%
Asian handicap · Austin FC
0+0.250 → +0.25
Total · no change in the recorded window (3)

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).