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⚽ Soccer USA - Major League Soccer Final

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City — odds movement

Oct 28, 2026 · 8:30 PM ET · 623 snapshots, every 5 minutes until kickoff

How the odds moved

We recorded 623 odds snapshots, one every 5 minutes, starting 54 h 25 min before kickoff. Chicago Fire opened as the favorite at 1.60 (-166) and shortened to 1.54 (-186). No-vig win probability (the bookmaker margin removed): Chicago Fire 59% → 63%, draw 19% → 18%, Orlando City 21% → 19%. The Asian handicap moved from Chicago Fire -1 to Chicago Fire -1.25. The total moved up from 3.75 to 4.

Opening vs closing odds

First snapshotLast before start
Chicago Fire1.60 (-166)1.54 (-186)
Draw4.88 (+388)5.24 (+424)
Orlando City4.42 (+342)5.08 (+408)
Asian handicapChicago Fire -1 · 1.95 (-105)Chicago Fire -1.25 · 2.02 (+102)
TotalO/U 3.75 · over 1.96 (-104)O/U 4 · over 1.95 (-105)

Decimal odds with American odds in brackets.

Line movement chart

Real market data sampled every 5 minutes. Win probability is shown with the bookmaker margin removed (no-vig).

Win probability · no-vig
10%30%51%71%Chicago Fire 63%Draw 18%Orlando City 19%
Asian handicap · Chicago Fire
-1.25-1-1 → -1.25
Total (over/under)
3.7543.75 → 4

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Information only — SharpPick does not take bets. Past moves do not predict results. 18+ (21+ where required).